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Deflation, devaluation, defense



  POVERTY, EMPLOYMENT, LIQUIDITY, INTEREST,
SPENDING, SAVING, TAXES, FOREIGN EXCHANGE, 
    AND FREEDOM -- ARE WE AT OUR WIT'S END?
 
PKT is stirring as talk of deflation, and devaluation of
one's own currency to protect domestic suppliers,
has everyone's attention.
 
PKT is supposed to insist that market fundamentalism
can and does demonstrably fail to solve social and
environmental disorders -- especially poverty, unem-
ployment and safeguarding earth for future generations.
 
Anti-PKT insists that governments in their parliaments
and executive bureaus are stupid, corrupt and unable
to create the supply of goods and services that "markets"
create automatically -- moreover, governments cannot
even "manage" a "market economy" better than it can
manage itself.
 
Now the truth is obvious too all -- PKT is correct. People
are forced to look to government to improve outcomes
of any and all free markets.
            And Anti-PKT is correct -- government cannot
EASILY  improve outcomes.  Management of a market
economy by government is only slightly easier than 
management of a command economy.
 
Yet  "only slightly easier"  is enough to decide the case.
 
The logic that really counts is that  UNTIL  government
can successfully manage a market economy it is high
folly to try to abandon freedom and move directly to a
government managed command economy.
 
Now does the above logic help -- YES  if it keeps us
from biting off more than we can chew.  But  NO  if we
think it can solve the vital details of design for anti-poverty,
anti-deflation, anti-hyperinflation, progressive programs to
supply more and more products and services in a greener
and greener world.
 
We can certainly be sure that defeating deflation is a
snap:  Spend money!   Who?  Government.   
            And lower taxes!  Whose taxes?  Taxes on people
who cannot afford to pay them. 
            And, also, taxes that impair private investment that
appears to want to increase useful supply.
 
What about foreign exchange?  Can it be left to internal
market self-correction?  If not, can national governments
impose rules (or sign treaties) that will improve the way
traders arrive at currency prices?  Should they?  
            In my view, once we have learned to end poverty,
unemployment, and shortages of goods and services,
especially those on which national and environmental
defense depend, we can worry about foreign exchange.
            However, changes, in how government regulates
or taxes foreign exchange trading, that are required to
learn to do all the above have to be promoted as they are
discovered.
            At the moment it seems that any government
willing to manage its markets -- especially its money and
tax regimes -- will have no trouble with foreign exchange.
            If it does, the trouble will be the absence of self-
sufficiency government was unable to overcome by
partnerships with suppliers of vital missing resources.
 
        John Gelles 


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