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Another path to economic victory



Extract from NY Times article, March 30, 2003, Another War, Same General,   by EDMUND L. ANDREWS:

"... But Mr. Greenspan and other Fed officials insist that even if the overnight Fed funds rate is zero, they still have tools to stimulate the economy. They would do so by buying up longer-term Treasury securities, such as two-year or five-year or even 10-year securities. By paying cash for such securities, the Fed would essentially be pumping money into the economy and pushing long-term interest rates even lower than they already are.
"Lyle Gramley, a former Fed governor who is now a senior economic adviser with Schwab Capital Markets, said that
the Fed could push 30-year mortgage rates as low as 2.5 percent."


As optimistic as I am for success of the President's long term military and political strategies, that's how pessimistic my friend B. is about global economic trends, especially the deindustrialization of America.
 
The path to reindustrialization here-- and prosperity everywhere-- (without turning the USA into a naught but services provider), that I have long seen coming, requires spending and lending money by Congress directly into circulation-- without issuing bonds or taxing economic profit.
 
Now there is another path. The central bank can do some of the job by lending money into circulation well ahead of hard collateralization of the loans.
 
The disadvantage of the second path is that it forces the system to respond to profit potentials more-- and labor and environmental standards, less.
 
In the long run, the second path is vulnerable to consumer addiction and gluttony and corporate corruption more than a sane nation would want.
But it is a better and safer path than the one we took at the time of the Great Depression.
In the short term, we may have to settle for protection from economic contraction. In the long term we must move as fast as we can toward the satisfaction of common sense environmental and democratic objectives.
This means spending legislated money into circulation and taxing nothing but that which responsible nations and authorities must discourage-- like smoking, inflationary pricing, and hoarding assets (including skills and intellectual property) that ought to be widely employed to accomplish civilized priorities.

John Gelles        http://www.tiea.us
Inflation protected savings  should
replace taxes so that public needs
are  met,   a  minimum union wage
prevails and nobody is out of work


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