January 23, 2003
You've probably
heard: the U.S. dollar is beginning to follow the U.S. stock market south.
Why? A couple
of reasons:
(1) Skeptical
foreign investors are pulling out of U.S. financial markets.
In the first
quarter of 2000, the flow of foreign investment capital into the U.S. was
$66 billion. By the 3rd Quarter of 2002 (the last data
available), the amount of foreign investment had fallen to just $7.4
billion.
(2) Attempting
to avoid an even deeper recession, the U.S. government appears to now favor
a soft dollar policy. That makes our products more competitive overseas.
Between 2/1/02
and 1/17/03 the U.S. dollar has weakened 24% against the euro...21% against
the Swiss franc, and 31% against the New Zealand dollar. The list goes on.
But here's
the interesting part
Currency trends
historically take many years to play out. Consider this broad snapshot of
recent U.S. dollar trends:
Weak dollar 1972
- 1978 (6 years)
Strong dollar 1979 - 1985 (6 years)
Weak dollar 1986 - 1995 (9 years)
Strong dollar 1996 - 2001 (5 years)
Weak dollar 2002 - (? Years)
Since we are
just 10 months into the current weak dollar trend, the best could very well
be ahead. Now may be an ideal time for you to intelligently diversify into
world currencies.
How to Invest?
Check out Everbank...
Everbank, the
nationwide division of First Alliance Bank, is one of the only banks in the
country that offers retail-oriented FDIC-Insured‡ Deposit Accounts
and Certificates of Deposit denominated in any of the world's major currencies.
With clients
in all 50 states, Everbank -a
Forbes.com "Best of the Web" recipient for three consecutive years-is a recognized
leader in providing branchless banking services to discerning clients.
This could be
your ticket to getting it right in 2003.
HERE'S
WHAT THE MEDIA SAYS.
Recently, CBS
MarketWatch ("Foreign-linked CDs deliver cash, yield and gains" - Jan 6,
2003) gave Everbank's innovative currency accounts extensive favorable coverage,
and the Wall Street Journal gave the accounts positive mention ("Dollar's
Steep Fall May Mean End of Many Bargains is Near" - Jan 9, 2003)
And no wonder.
In addition to offering simple U.S. dollar alternatives in the form of single
currency deposit accounts and CDs, Everbank also offers innovative multi-currency
Index CDs designed to meet specific investment objectives.
For example,
Everbank's European
Currency Opportunity CD is made up of the currencies of three countries
scheduled for admission into the European Union next year. It is widely anticipated
that their economies will continue to improve in order to meet the EU admission
standards and that, as a result, their currencies will strengthen.
Since first announced
to the public in January 2002, the European Opportunity CD has gained over
20% in a combination of yield and capital gains.
Speaking of yield,
as of January 14, 2003, a 3-month European Opportunity CD yields 5.75% APY†.
But make no mistake: the real upside is if the U.S. dollar continues to weaken.
The Risks?
Of course, it
is vital to understand the risks of any investment. If the U.S. dollar were
to appreciate against a world currency you hold, you can lose money, including
principal.
** In addition,
while Everbank's accounts are FDIC-insured, the FDIC-insurance only covers
losses due to bank insolvency, but does not cover losses due to currency
fluctuations.
With those caveats,
however, globally diversifying your portfolio is a time-proven practice to
reduce the risks of being invested in a single economy-even if that economy
is the U.S.
And Everbank
makes it incredibly easy and cost effective to own the world's currencies.
So, there's a
new idea for you to consider as you try to peer through the fog of today's
U.S. markets. Perhaps it's time to rise above the fog, and look overseas.
It's easy to
learn more - click into Everbank now
and get all the details, or call them a call today at 800.926.4922. We're
always willing to take the time to answer questions.
Best Regards,
Chuck Butler
President
Everbank World
Markets
P.S. A useful
tip: Every day our team puts out a complimentary daily e-letter for clients
entitled The Daily Pfennig that covers global currency and economic developments.
In addition to being informative, we hear it's pretty entertaining as well.
Even if you're not a client, if you email us we'll be happy to
add you to the list. While the information it contains is excellent, you
can't go wrong at the price - which is free!
‡ As a division
of First Alliance Bank, your deposits with Everbank Worlds Markets are FDIC
insured. The FDIC insurance only insures against losses related to bank insolvency-it
does not cover any risk associated with changing currency prices. As with
all investments, investors can lose money, including principal. Deposits
held at Everbank are added together with deposits held at First Alliance
Bank for the purposes of the $100,000 limit on the FDIC insurance coverage.
†Rates as of 1/14/03. Your
rate may differ depending on when your CD is purchased and the term chosen.
The interest rate for this CD is fixed at the time the account is opened
and will be paid from the date of the deposit until the maturity date of
the CD. Historical performance is no guarantee of future returns, particularly
when reviewing short-term performance. Currency price, yield, and return
on an actual investment will fluctuate, and you may have a gain or loss when
you purchase your CD. Average annual returns include changes in currency
price and reinvestment of principal and interest.
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