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Fwd: Re: Article from THE GUARDIAN, September 18, 2000




Date: Wed, 20 Sep 2000 13:41:44 -0500
To: "J. Barkley Rosser, Jr." <rosserjb@xxxxxxx>
From: Paul Davidson <pdavidson@xxxxxxx>
Subject: Re: Article from THE GUARDIAN, September 18, 2000

At 12:48 PM 9/20/00 -0400, you wrote:
Paul,
      I fear that things are not so simple, as I
think you well know.  There is complacency in
the US partly because of the strength of the dollar.
But that strength is the flip side of the continuing
decline of the euro.  Perhaps in the EU they might
welcome a proposal such as yours, but not in the
US.  But, if the dollar crashes, that means the euro
will be doing well, so they presumably won't be
interested then.  Unfortunately it would probably
take a full scale global depression to bring it about.


Barkley:  The global depression is the worst possible scenario for a new Bretton Woods.  But I truly believe if the dollar was attacked, the result of falling values of foreign portfolio investments would be sufficient for the politicians to realize a new financial architecture should be explored.

We are again beginning to experience collapsing financial markets in East Asia.  Will that again bring on contagion?

Paul

Paul Davidson
Editor, JOURNAL OF POST KEYNESIAN ECONOMICS
Holly Chair of Excellence in Political Economy
Economics Department - University of Tennessee
523 SMC
Knoxville, Tennessee 37996-0550
work phone: (865) 974-4221
fax: (865) 974-4601/  (865) 974-1686
home fax: (865) 577-7748



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