Re: [Pen-l] two questions

[Jim Devine <jdevine03@xxxxxxxxx>]

I had written:
> The recent stats showed the size of the US unemployment insurance
> rolls falling from the previous month. The pundits saw this as a sign
> of possible recovery, perhaps later this year. But: to what extent is
> the fall in the number of UI recipients simply the result of (1) the
> surge of the unemployment insurance rolls about 6 months ago and (2)
> the fact that in a lot of states, UI payments end six months after
> they start?

Carl Dassbach wrote:
> I was under the impression, at least after talking with officials in the New
> York state Office of Unemployment (or whatever it was called) that their
> unemployment data was not simply based on the number of people collecting
> unemployment but also included estimates, based on a random sample of about
> 1000 households a month, which attempted to determine numbers of
> "discouraged" workers, or people who want a job but stopped looking and
> people who no longer qualify for benefits.

no, I wasn't talking about estimates of actual unemployment. Rather,
the issue is that of how many people are receiving unemployment
insurance benefits.
-- 
Jim Devine / "Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti." (Go your own
way and let people talk.) -- Karl, paraphrasing Dante.
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