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[Pen-l] Capitalism the Edge of a Vortex



Capitalism ? the Edge of a Vortex

By Fawzi Ibrahim

[Fawzi Ibrahim, Senior lecturer (retired) and author of several books on electronic engineering, television and video technology and computers. Email: fawzi@xxxxxxxxxxxx]

When the crisis of 1973-74 was upon us, Anthony Crosland, the then Labour Secretary of State for the environment, told local authority representatives 'the party's over'. Glossing over the fact that most people weren't aware of there being a party, let alone that it was over, Crosland was right in that the crisis of 1973-74 was an important watershed. The following two decades witnessed a 'reconfiguration of the capitalist system'[1] culminating in what is variously described as 'the crisis decades'[2] 'the age of insecurity'[3], 'the new economy[4], the 'long slowdown[5] and 'the long downturn'. But what was so special about that crisis? After all, cycles of boom and bust are normal; so normal, they are dubbed 'the business cycle'. What was special about the 70s? Was it the oil crisis, the breakdown of international monetary system (Bretton Woods), the onset of 'globalisation', the winter of discontent, the 'crisis of Fordism', new management techniques, computerisation or was it the election of Thatcher and Reagan, the impending collapse of the Soviet Union or the rise of 'neo-liberalism'? All of these and other external factors have been sited to explain the peculiarity of the 70s and the period that followed. But looking at external factors for an explanation confuses cause and effect.

This article will show that the causes of the crisis of the 70s were internal to capitalism, inherent within it. Employing new graphical techniques borrowed from electronic engineering, the article will illustrate how in the early 70s, as a result of falling rates of profit, capitalism was heading towards a vortex-like critical zone. The 'transformation' that followed was necessary to prevent capitalism tipping over the edge and into oblivion.

http://www.marxmail.org/vortex.htm

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