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Re: stock returns [was: Ignore the Obituaries, U.S. Reign Will Endure]



On Feb 6, 2008, at 9:34 AM, Jim Devine wrote:

the Hassett/Glassman prediction was based on the assumption that
stocks were becoming as safe as bonds, no? How could that ever be
true?

It couldn't. The book was incredibly dumb.

BTW, Baran & Sweezy (1965) suggested that dividends were becoming as
regular as interest payments. I think Galbraith pére may have made the
same kind of suggestion way back then. If so, then stocks are more
like bonds, at least for the blue chip stocks.

Citigroup cut its dividend. It does happen now and then. And most hardcore investors don't care about dividends - they care about "earnings," which are quite volatile.


Doug

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