Re: Beslan

[Chris Doss <lookoverhere1@xxxxxxxxx>]

Actually, Yoshie, in his speech, Putin implied that
the event had been arranged by Western countries in an
attempt to create ethnic conflict in the Caucasus.

That is a very widespread, and I think mistaken,
belief here, that the Chechen fighters are paid by the
CIA. The Dagestanis are convinced of it:

Makhachkala Makhachkala Chernovik in Russian 13 Aug 04

[Commentary by Denga Khalidov, member of the Academy
of Geopolitical Problems and head of the center for
ethnopolitical and Islamic issues, entitled "To set
the Caucasus on fire in order to take Russia apart?!"
Subheadings are as published.]

[Text]    Geostrategic backdrop to the South Ossetian
drama

    Events that are unfolding in the Caucasus should
be viewed not only in the   regional or purely Russian
but in a wider, global, context. A battle is being
waged for the Caucasus in which the world's
"behind-the-scenes powers"   (neonomads [as received]
and masters of the world) have put their money on
[Georgian President] Mikheil Saakashvili and on the
newest types of warfare.   And so far, unfortunately,
they have been successful. Moreover, through middle
links in the chain, these powers are manipulating the
leaders of the Chechen   resistance movement, too. The
latter seem to be viewing the Brits and the
Americans as their resource and have no inkling of
themselves being a powerful   "instrument" in the
hands of America, a force that, for its part, is
waging a   ruthless struggle against Islam and is
prepared to plunge the rest of humanity   into a dark
age of slavery and ignorance. It seems that the moment
of truth and   understanding will come soon.
Otherwise, a tragedy greater than the one we have
been witnessing for the last 15 years is inevitable.
This is the backdrop   against which solutions to the
South Ossetian and the region's other problems,
including the Chechen one, should be considered.

    Things are further exacerbated by the fact that
Moscow has lost its true   sovereignty and has become
too much dependent on the Washington "central
committee" [reference to the omnipotent Central
Committee of the Soviet   Communist Party]. The fifth
column inside the country is undermining its public
and state security. Soon, very soon, time may come
when the peoples of Russia   (especially, in the North
Caucasus) will have to take charge of their
motherland's destiny. The country's occupation regime
of neoliberals ("aliens",   pro-Western creatures, a
Zionist minority) is not a figure of speech but a
reality that we live with today. Therefore the issue
of peace in the North   Caucasus is most topical.
Peace is needed for physical survival and spiritual
salvation - of Muslims and Russian Orthodox believers,
of residents of   mountainous areas and Cossacks
alike. For we all have a common enemy. As for   the
Saakashvili factor, it is far too serious to allow
oneself to complacently   rely on past successes and
mountain dwellers' proverbially tough spirit.

    Outcome of the first "round"

    The results of the first round of conflict in
South Ossetia show that our   fears (fears of experts
from the Geopolitical Academy) are coming true.
Saakashvili is building up pressure on Moscow with the
use of the "heavy   artillery" of Washington and
London. The Georgians have managed to considerably
expand their bridgehead for a future offensive on the
South Ossetian Republic.   Tskhinvali and Joint
Control Commission (JCC) peacekeepers have turned out
to   be unprepared for the newest technologies of
warfare. What is going on there is   a real war?
Except that it does not follow any rules; it is a
systemic, a   multiple-process war; a war without
trenches or front lines. Our military   academies do
not offer training in how to wage wars like that.

    What is the secret of Saakashvili's success? His
General Staff is staffed   with pupils of [Deputy
Defense Secretary] Paul Wolfowitz, the Pentagon's
chief   strategist. These guys are coached in all the
tricks of modern warfare that   have more than once
been tested in Bosnia, Kosovo, as well as in
Afghanistan   and Iraq. Their tactics consist in
waiting for the enemy to make a mistake, in   wearing
the enemy out and gradually expanding one's own
bridgehead, with   psychological (mass media) pressure
coming before political pressure and   military
pressure coming last. In these tactics, cynical acts
of provocation   are made to look like the heights of
the art of war. This is a post-modern war   when the
attacker's fantasies have no moral checks and the
following concepts   rule the game: "manageable
conflicts", "goal justifies the means", "the main
thing is to gain a virtual victory", together with "a
permanent build-up of   pressure and information
offensives", and so on. Ossetians are incapable of
such acts of provocation and are totally unprepared
for that kind of war. The   same is true of Russian
generals.

    [South Ossetian leader] Eduard Kokoiti is unlikely
to have people on his   team capable to respond to the
challenge of Tbilisi's "pupils" of the Pentagon
school. This is their strength (they are not prepared
to engage in low-down   tricks or acts of provocation)
and weakness at the same time. Therefore,   mistakes
are inevitable, and Tbilisi will make the most of them
in terms of   military and publicity dividends.

    Putting US' experience of Kosovo to use in South
Ossetia

    Ossetians would do well to ask Serbs for advice.
Here is what an OSCE   observer from France wrote in
Kosovo (in 1998): "The OSCE mission knew that   NATO
and the USA did not want our mission in Kosovo to
succeed. Mass killings   were encouraged by all
possible means (?! - author's insertion) in order to
subsequently justify military intervention. US
instructors explained it to   Albanian militants from
KLA [Kosovo Liberation Army] that from the point of
view of effective strategy, one should KILL SERBIAN
POLICEMEN [capitalization   as received] in order to
provoke the Serbian troops into tough measures against
  the Albanian community," (L'Humanite, 18 November
1999). The training had its   effect. KLA militants
provoked Serbian troops in the village of Racak (in
Kosovo), while later - at a prompt from the CIA -
Albanians' losses were   presented in the Western
media as ethnic cleansing and brutalities on the part
 of the Serbs.

    Obviously, this "positive" experience will be used
in South Ossetia, too.   What did Saakashvili need an
undercover group of commandos on an APC marked as   a
peacekeeping vehicle (in a Georgian village) on the
territory of South   Ossetia for? Clearly, for staging
acts of provocation similar to the ones   staged in
Kosovo. First, a South Ossetian security officer is
killed. Next,   taking advantage of the confusion,
Georgian commandos on an APC marked as   belonging to
the Joint Control Commission (that is, the
peacekeeping force)   make a sortie leaving the dead
bodies of Georgian civilians in South Ossetian
villages behind them. As a result, next come an exodus
of Georgian civilians   and world-wide hysteria
stirred up by the "free" media over "ethnic cleansing"
  carried out by Ossetian "barbarians" with the help
of Russians.

    Other options are also possible. It all depends on
the measure of cynicism   and fantasy of the British
and American instructors. Using the reliable
mechanism of cooperation between the Pentagon, CNN and
other information   weapons of liberals and neonomads
(including those in Russia), as well as the
"instructional" European structures such as PACE, EU
and so on, Tbilisi will   then make the most of this
cunning and low-base machination.

    Thus the Western public will be made to believe
that the so-called   "humanitarian intervention" in
South Ossetia is necessary. As a result, the USA
(NATO) will establish themselves in Georgia and will
help the Georgians for   real (with the use of
high-precision weapons, too), with all the predictable
  consequences not only for the people of South
Ossetia and Abkhazia but, and   primarily, for the
North Caucasus and Russia as a whole.

    From South Ossetia to Dagestan

    Developments in South Ossetia need to be viewed
through the prism of the US strategic ambition of
squeezing Russia from the Caucasus and the Caspian
region. "The Caucasus and Central Asia can become
those regions where for the first time ever NATO
MILITARY OPERATIONS [capitalization as published] will
be conducted "outside the zone" (in other words,
outside the North Atlantic community - author's
insertion)... and here they will have to face tasks
that are far bigger than those related to the
operation in Yugoslavia"(?!). The above is a quote
from a 1999 paper by US strategists called "NATO after
  enlargement".

    As you can see, we received a warning back then
and more than once. So soon   (in the next two or
three years) a moment will come when the USA and
Europe   will raise the issue "of making the Chechen
conflict an international one and   sending NATO
troops to the North Caucasus" (and farther on, up to
Dagestan),   since Russia has failed to tackle the
notorious "terrorists" in the mountains   of Ichkeria,
and doing it within the framework of the
"antiterrorist   coalition", as it were. (Thus, the
Kremlin's hasty and not very clever decision   to jump
on the imperial bandwagon of the US "jihad" against
the rest of   humanity will boomerang against Russia.)
Control over the Caspian region and   its oil and gas
reserves (with estimated 2.5-3bn t of them located in
the   Russian sector) has long ago been set aside as
the main prize for the   inevitable losses associated
with America's strategic thrust in the region.

    To sum things up, South Ossetia will be the first,
followed by Abkhazia   synchronized with rebels' more
active operations in Chechnya, Ingushetia and
Dagestan. Experts from the Academy of Geopolitical
Problems believe that all   the above awaits us in the
next year or two, culminating in Dagestan's
first-ever presidential election (spring and summer of
2006). Before then of   course there will be attempts
to prevent the [presidential and parliamentary]
elections in Chechnya from taking place as well as
periodic raids similar to   the Ingush operation on 22
June. Otherwise, [former Georgian President Eduard]
Shevardnadze would not have been forced to resign. For
things began to deviate   from the script. The
Pentagon's and the CIA's strategic scenarios for the
Caucasus envisage everything that will happen, maybe
not down to every single   day, but to every single
month certainly. As a result, we'll end up with a
Caucasus on fire from the Black Sea to the Caspian Sea
- a harbinger of   Russia's disintegration. Yes, we
will. This is no exaggeration, for in   America's
plans Russia's doomsday is scheduled to take place
before 2010. It is   by that time that the US
rearmament program called (?"Common
perspective-2010") will be completed.

    Efforts to psychologically prepare Russia for its
withdrawal from this "hot"   region have been
undertaken by the country's neoliberal mass media
(including   state-run media) for more than 10 years
and they have brought some tangible   "fruits" in the
form of persistent anti-North Caucasus and
anti-Islamic   sentiments. One can assume that these
mass media must be part of the Pentagon's   advance
teams in its multifaceted (systemic) war against
Russia and the Islamic   world which is today clear to
all but to the spiritually lazy. Experts from the
academy of geopolitical problems are more and more
inclined to believe that the   Kremlin will not be
able to withstand the pressure from the West and is
ready   to give South Ossetia up, with Abkhazia to
follow. All that state officials are   worried about
is: 1) how to ensure a PR cover for this position; 2)
how to push   the hand-over process as far into the
future as possible. Thus South Ossetia,   although not
necessarily being "all that we have got", still
remains one of the   country's most important defense
lines.

    Islamic factor

    The CIA and the SIS (British intelligence service)
"interact" with Chechen resistance forces through
middle links in the chain. The nature of this
relationship is indeed interaction rather than
manipulation because large   numbers of rebels have a
truth of their own and their own idea of the West as
"a big Shaitan". But the leaders of Ichkerian
separatists, let alone rank-and-file rebels, are
greatly mistaken as far as the future prospects of
"independent Chechnya or 'the Islamic republic of
Chechnya and Dagestan'" are   concerned. Their destiny
will be similar to that of Afghanistan's Taliban
fighters. Any untamed Islamic element will be
ruthlessly destroyed by the Americans, with the use of
high-precision weapons, for the true rulers of the
world want to see the Caucasus free of its native
population, let alone of any Islamic element. And this
fundamental yet not very much publicized policy of
the true rulers of the world will be implemented with
all the implacability of fate.





__________________________________
Do you Yahoo!?
Yahoo! Mail is new and improved - Check it out!
http://promotions.yahoo.com/new_mail