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[PEN-L:29580] RE: Re: war/election bet



I think it's too late for the U.S. to launch
a war before November.  The politics are not
right for the Admin yet.  They haven't sold it,
either domestically or elsewhere.  The Dems
would let them do it, but only I think to give
them opportunities to ruin themselves politically.

So I'd cover the 'no war'
side of a bet.  We could define 'war' as an open
incursion of ground troops towards one or more
cities not presently controlled by the U.S./UN.

Stepped up bombing and the commando shit going on
now doesn't count.

mbs


On Sun, 18 Aug 2002, Devine, James wrote:

> Michael, I bet you that there will be no war against Iraq before the
> November election. If there is, I'll give you a full case of the best
> carrot juice.

Yecch!  How about 50 bucks?

> Of course, we need to define war. I'll let you do it and then decide
> whether to keep the bet or not. It's got to be more than a couple of
> cruise missiles.

I think we're in agreement there.

Michael




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