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Why Greenspan can cut interest rates



I had meant to come back to Rob on his post of 7th December


Thought-provoking post, Chris!  (Although I doubt you'll have convinced
Dennis)  I've been speculating Greenspan could quite soon reach a point
where cutting interest rates would not be an available option (coz he
couldn't afford all those helpful foreigners getting out of dollars).  That
caught no-one's attention, and I'm beginning to suspect there's something
about the greenback's power I don't understand. 


Greenspan of course has to calculate. But he has a significant wider margin of error than Duisenberg and always will, because of the uneven accumulation of capital on a world scale. That is what makes the qualitative difference, even though arithmetically it is quite marginal.

Because in any recession under capitalism, and the productive forces of the world are operating far below their capacity, the rate limiting factor is the limited purchasing power of the masses. So long as the US economy has a relative advantage, which it does through a number of factors, through shaking off the challenge to its technical lead, through its plentiful supply of cheap labour, through the luxury of being able to circulate its money throughout the world, at a cost borne by other countries, not itself, then the USA will be gratefully seen as

the purchaser of last resort.

So if the US is thinking of reducing interest rates, Duisenberg with a more sluggish European economy, will be delighted to lower interest rates too. The announcement will be made in bland, calming terms to suggest this is all part of a wise consensus to manage the global system. Which it is. The global system of capitalism, one of whose absolute laws, as Marx emphasised in Volume I, is the uneven accumulation of capital.

Comments and criticisms appreciated.

Chris Burford

London







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