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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: the downturn



At 01:32 PM 12/4/00 -0500, you wrote:
Jim,
      Let's keep in mind that there is a crucial
difference between a "slowdown" (reduction
in the rate of still positive growth) and a "recession,"
actual negative growth.  One of the reasons why
those downturns go fast once they start is for the
oldest of Keynesian reasons, one rapidly being
purged from the new wave textbooks following
Mankiw, the multiplier effect.

perhaps more importantly, they've purged the accelerator effect and the debt-deflation theory of great depressions.

We have? Even Mankiw (Intermediate) has a version of debt-deflation (although I find his discussion hard to follow) focusing on the real interest rate...


Brad DeLong




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