BLS DAILY REPORT, MONDAY, NOVEMBER 20, 2000 The Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics announces average annual pay of U.S. workers climbed 4.3 percent to $33,313 in 1999, with all states posting gains. Pay growth for U.S. workers in 1999 was smaller than in the prior 2 years (5.2 percent in 1998 and 4.9 percent in 1997). However, it marked the fifth highest annual increase during the period between 1989 and 1999. Over that decade, BLS said that average annual pay increased by 47.6 percent, a gain of $10,750. ... (Daily Labor Report, page D-5). Housing starts were "virtually unchanged" between September and October as construction of new privately owned homes increased by only 0.1 percent. Construction of single-family homes was down 0.2 percent from the previous month, while building permits -- a barometer of future housing activity -- crept up 1 percent in October, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau said. Analysts generally said the report was encouraging because it shows that gradually falling mortgage rates have offset signs that economic growth is slowing. ... (Daily Labor Report, page D-1)_____Housing construction moderated last month as builders broke ground on more apartments than single-family homes, the latest evidence that the nation's economy is slowing. ... (New York Times, Nov. 18, page B3; Wall Street Journal, page A8). Strong demand for workers across several industries is expected to continue throughout the first quarter of 2001, according to a Manpower Inc. survey. Manpower said its national survey of nearly 16,000 public and private employers shows that 85 percent of businesses expect to maintain or expand current staffing levels early in 2001. Only 10 percent said they are planning staffing decreases, the company said. The survey results represent a record-high employment level for first quarters, following record-setting levels for the third and fourth quarter surveys for 1999. Some industries that typically rely on seasonal employees have been forced to hire earlier than usual and to retain employees permanently because of stiff competition for labor, Manpower says. The president of Manpower says 27 percent of wholesale and retail firms are planning to add workers during the first quarter of 2001, reversing an 18-year trend. "Construction companies find themselves in a similar bind. If they wait until the usual building season is at hand, they may be unable to find the people they need," he said. According to the survey, durable goods manufacturers were planning the most new hires, with 29 percent indicating they were actively recruiting and 10 percent saying they are planning decreases. Nondurable goods manufacturers were close behind, with 27 percent expressing an intent to hire more people, while 9 percent said they were planning job cuts. Manpower said demand in the construction industry is the highest since 1978, with 24 percent of respondents seeking additional workers. Demand for teachers is also at a record high. ... (Daily Labor Report, page A-6)_____Demand for workers set a 25-year high for the third consecutive quarter, but it is no longer cutting across all business sectors, according to Manpower Inc.'s latest survey of employers' hiring plans. "Now we're starting to see softening, particularly in manufacturing" in certain regions, says the president and chief executive officer of Manpower. ... (Wall Street Journal, page A2). In the last decade, hunger-relief agencies have found that the hungriest people in the United States are the working poor. The New York Times (page 21) offers this statistical snapshot of people who seek emergency help from soup kitchens, food pantries, and shelters served by America's Second Harvest Food Bank, the nation's largest domestic hunger relief organization. (1) There is at least one working adult in 39 percent of households receiving emergency food. Of those adults, 49 percent work at least 40 hours a week. (2) Of the 21 million needy people seeking emergency food assistance, more than 8 million are children. (3) About 70 percent of poor families with children in the U.S. include a person who works. (4) Over the last 2 decades, the poverty rate among working families has risen nearly 50 percent. (5) According to census estimates, two-thirds of parents with low earnings work in retail or service trades. (6) Between 1978 and 1988, families headed by high school dropouts increased their annual working hours by nearly 12 percent, ending up with 8 percent less income. (7) Of the emergency food recipients, 40 percent have less than a high school diploma or equivalent, including 16 percent who completed grade school or less. (8) Forty-three million Americans have no health insurance, even for emergencies. Nearly half of all parents in working-poor families lack health insurance. More students are saying that a big paycheck can wait, according to an article in The New York Times (page 27). ... "We're hearing from everywhere that there is a significant increase in young people deciding they want to work in the nonprofit sector," says the president and chief executive of Independent Sector, a coalition of nonprofit organizations in Washington, D.C. ... Despite the strong job market, record salaries for new graduates, and high school loan and credit card debt, the shift toward volunteerism appears to be filtering down to college and university campuses. ... As the year-end holiday shopping season approaches, retailers are worried that consumers are so heavily indebted, undersaved, and overspent that they are in no position to shop as lavishly as they did last year, says Steve Liesman writing in "The Outlook" column of The Wall Street Journal (page A1). ... The International Mass Retail Association forecasts a rate of U.S. sales growth as low as 2 percent during November and December, compared with 5 percent growth last year. But many economists are optimistic, and they expect spending to remain healthy throughout the holiday season. ,,, The rising affluence of an aging population may have changed the way consumers spend. "We've reached a level of affluence in today's economy when people are spending more on services and recreation than on goods," one says. ... The New Economy has also significantly altered sources of income, so the old gauges of wealth don't adequately measure the health of the consumer. The government deducts total U.S. spending from total U.S. income and what is left is considered savings. But that method doesn't capture income from capital gains, dividends, and many other sources. And money that is actually accumulating in retirement plans and private investment portfolios isn't counted as savings. ... DUE OUT TOMORROW: Regional and State Employment and Unemployment: October 2000
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