BLS DAILY REPORT, THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 16, 2000 RELEASED TODAY: CPI -- The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.2 percent in October on a seasonally adjusted basis, following a 0.5 percent increase in September. Deceleration in the energy index -- up 0.2 percent in October, following a 3.8 percent rise in September -- was largely responsible for the moderation in the October CPI-U. In October, the index for petroleum-based energy declined 1.2 percent, while the index for energy services increased 1.5 percent. The food index, which increased 0.2 percent in September, rose 0.1 percent in October. Excluding food and energy, the CPI-U rose 0.2 percent, following a 0.3 percent rise in September. A smaller increase in apparel prices and a downturn in the tobacco index were principally responsible for the more moderate advance in October. ... REAL EARNINGS -- Real average weekly earnings were essentially unchanged between September and October after seasonal adjustment. A 0.4 percent increase in average hourly earnings was offset by a 0.3 percent decline in average weekly hours and a 0.1 percent rise in the CPI-W. ... Real average weekly earnings fell by 0.2 percent from October 1999 to October 2000. ... BLS reports labor productivity increased in more than three-fourths of 119 U.S. manufacturing industries in 1998. ... (Daily Labor Report, page A-11). American industrial output weakened in October and businesses grew cautious about stockpiling goods, according to two reports, adding to signs of a gradually cooling economy. The Federal Reserve's monthly report on industrial production showed that output by mines, factories, and utilities fell 0.1 percent last month after an upwardly revised gain of 0.4 percent in September. It was the first drop in monthly output since a 0.2 percent fall in July, and only the second since the beginning of 1999. Manufacturing stalled while the output at utilities fell. The second report, from the Commerce Department, showed that business inventories in September were growing at their slowest pace in nearly 2 years. Production to build inventories is generally a source of economic strength, unless faltering sales cause an oversupply that forces sharp cutbacks. ... (New York Times, page C6; Wall Street Journal, page A2)_____Declines in the output of automobile products and household appliances pushed industrial production down 0.1 percent in October. The decline was the second in the last 4 months, although production remained 5.2 percent higher than a year ago and was 46.3 percent above its 1992 average. ... (Daily Labor Report, page D-1). Federal Reserve officials, increasingly convinced that U.S. economic growth has slowed to a sustainable pace that does not threaten to make inflation worse, decided to leave interest rates unchanged. The Federal Open Market Committee, the central bank's top policymaking group, also left in place its assessment that the risk of inflation accelerating in the future continues to outweigh the possibility that growth could slow very sharply, or that the economy could tip into a recession. ... (Washington Post, page E1)_____Citing clear evidence that the economy has shifted into a lower gear, the Federal Reserve voted to hold interest rates steady, but with unemployment low and energy prices high the central bank said it was not yet ready to proclaim that inflation was no longer a threat. ... (New York Times, page C1)_____The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged, but disappointed investors by dismissing growing concerns that the economy is slowing too much and declaring that inflation -- not recession -- remains the greater danger. ... (Wall Street Journal, page A2) A majority of economists surveyed by the National Association for Business Economics expect the U.S. economy to slip into a sustainable pace of expansion through next year. .. A soft landing is in progress, and inflation will moderate next year as energy price pressures fall back. ... (Daily Labor Report, page A-7). The female-male pay gap varies greatly on a state-by-state basis, according to a new analysis by the Institute for Women's Policy Research. Using federal government statistics and other data, the report analyzes and ranks women's state-by-state status in employment and earnings, as well as "economic autonomy" -- a composite index, based on college education, business ownership, poverty, and health insurance coverage; political participation; and health status/reproduction rights. In terms of pay, the report finds that women earned the highest percentage of men's wages in the District of Columbia, 86 cents for every dollar earned by men, followed by Hawaii, 84 cents, and Maryland and New York, each 80 cents. The lowest earnings ratio was in Wyoming, at 63 cents, followed by Louisiana and Utah, 65 cents each, and Indiana, 67 cents. ... (Daily Labor Report, page A-5). Another study on women's compensation, released by the New York-based Catalyst, finds that women are gaining in the ranks of corporate executives and top wage earners. About a tenth of the Fortune 500 companies say that women hold a quarter or more of their corporate officer titles. ... (Daily Labor Report, page A-6). Faced with an unforgiving stock market and a harsh business environment, many companies are experiencing another stark reality, a lack of management depth. As more and more chief executives are being rushed out the door by disappointed investors and impatient boards, companies are finding that there is a shortage of obvious candidates to fill these spots, according to executive recruiters and management experts. Boards will be forced to reach out more broadly for candidates than they have in the past, they say, which may mean that women will be able to move up in these organizations more quickly. The current shortages of managers may also cause companies to rethink how they are grooming future executives. ... (New York Times, page C1). Pension participation among employees at companies with fewer than 100 employees rose from 30 percent to 37 percent from 1990 to 1999, while participation among employees at companies with more than 100 employees held steady at about 70 percent over the course of the decade, according to a Congressional Research Service report. ... (Daily Labor Report, page A-1). DUE OUT TOMORROW: Average Annual Pay by State and Industry, 1999
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