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Re: Re: Re: Re: pool of available workers



Jim Devine wrote:

Is Greenspan simply digging up numbers that have recently been provided by
the BLS and using them to rationalize the failure of Phillips Curve models
to predict inflation well? or have his economists developed a time-series
going back to 1950 or 1960 of some alternative unemployment rate that they
stick into a PC model that does predict inflation well?

I looked for the latter and found only that the Fed economists were
attributing low inflation to the high profitability of business these days
(as quoted in an earlier message). They were still using the usual official
U rates.

I doubt Greenspan's working with a formal model - he's operationalizing Kalecki on the impossibility of full employment from the point of view of a central banker.

Doug




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