[PEN-L:1310] Re: Re: Russia in emergency talks with IMF

[James Devine <jdevine@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>]

Barkley writes:
>     There have been some rumblings about the Baltic Fleet
>becoming rebellious, so maybe there is a figure waiting to
>emerge from there.  But I think that for the near term one
>must think about people who are already well known.  After
>all, Hitler may not have been very well known in the early
>1920s.  But he certainly was by the time he came to power
>in the early 1930s....

My prediction (if it's worth anything, coming from a total non-specialist
on Russian questions) is that there will be a "progressive" military coup,
of the sort that hit Peru in 1968. It will be "in the name of the people,"
nominally against the big-money boys and the gangsters, perhaps organizing
the economy in a military way. Of course, the military budget will
increase, while most of the problems will remain.

Jim Devine jdevine@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx &
http://clawww.lmu.edu/Departments/ECON/jdevine.html