Re: [Marxism] Obama influencing Middle East elections

[Eli Stephens <elishastephens@xxxxxxxxxxx>]

Obama supporters from the media to Daily Kos have been trumpeting this meme 
loudly, and it may well be true, but the evidence mustered for it doesn't pass 
the "post hoc ergo propter hoc" test.

We're told the Hezbollah's defeat in Lebanon was "unexpected." Maybe it was if 
you believed the polls, but why should be believe the polls in Lebanon were any 
more accurate than they were in, say, the New Hampshire primary? When we get a 
post-election poll that says 8% of the population changed their planned vote 
after hearing Obama's speech, that would qualify as better evidence, but until 
I see such a poll, I'll refrain from giving Obama "credit" for influencing the 
election in Lebanon or in Iran.


Eli Stephens
 Left I on the News
 http://lefti.blogspot.com


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