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Re: [Marxism] Thoughts on 8 Theses




S, a chara,



Many thanks for your response.



> Sure. Mostly I disagree.



Good. I look forward to the discussion and learning something more.


> Agree that neo-classical conceptions have crept in-- and most neo-classical
of all, and most of the creeping is in this notion of trade imbalances--
trade imbalances neither reflect nor cause breakdowns in capitalism as
capital-- as the reproduction of expanded value.


I'm not sure that I mean the same thing as the neo-classical concerns around
imbalance but we'll see.


> As a matter of fact this dependence, reliance, on trade imbalance theory is
a little more than neo-classical. It is positively mercantilist. Engels
wrote an interesting piece in 1843 in the Jahrbucher on the critique of
political economy; includes a great attack on mercantilist "balance of
trade" worhippers.


I will check this out. Someone was recently quoting me sections on this
elsewhere. I will come back to you on it. Thanks.


> The proof, more or less, of the inapplicability of "balance of trade"
theorizing, you provide when you make the analogy between agriculture and
city-- absolutely-- cities "import" much more from the countryside than
they "export" to the countryside-- that's an index to the relative
development of the city over the countryside-- this doesn't make the city
financially or economically subservient to the countryside-- to the
production of exchange value in agriculture. There is no NEED in capitalism
for balance; for balance between industry and agriculture-- balance is
necessary in barter, but not in capitalist exchange. Profit is what counts.
Expanded value. Not balance.


True. But the balance I speak of is different to that you speak of. There are
very many types of balance so it is critical we speak of the same thing. In the
case of city-countryside exchange, in a stable capitalist scheme, cities export
commodities produced in factories in return for the raw materials produced in
fields and mines (for an example). There is balance to the trade in value
terms. The cities cannot hope to extract greater value from the rural areas
indefinitely and although the trade is imbalanced in relative productivity
terms, it is balanced in terms of value exchanged.



This is precisely not the case in the current international metabolism of
trade. By definition, net surplus value is taken (exploited) from
capital-dependent countries by those with its surplus. There is an imbalance in
value exchanged from third world to first world (imperialist) economies. It is
this imbalance that I speak of; not the imbalance of trade spoken of by the
vulgar economists - an imbalance defined by 'price' in any case.


> Financial investment has always been intrinsic to capitalist development,
just as international, global expansion has always been intrinsic to
domestic capital investment.



I don't deny this. What I believe, however, is that this has undergone a
'qualitative' change - about a hundred years ago. Indeed, that is the social
basis of 'imperialism' by Lenin. My contention is that the crisis is rooted in
the structural changes which have occurred in the social relations of
production which remain characteristic of imperialism in the era of
'globalisation'. You may choose to see the root as a falling rate of profit -
which I don't deny is a trend - but to bypass that tendency - the imperialists
have concentrated production in the third world and accrued both surplus value
and super-exploited surplus value as a result. To avoid the polarity of the
contradiction in domestic production, they have abstracted to a new and more
severe contradiction on a global scale.



The problem is that that this has allowed the inflation of the financial
superstructure and the growth of predatory finance-capital but has left behind
the working class in the imperialist core. To some extent, this tendency has
been mitigated by social reformist concessions (facilitated by transfer of
super-exploited surplus value to the 'privileged' sections of the 'domestic'
working class) but also through the extension of credit (itself facilitated by
a 'price' inflation on unproductive assets e.g. houses). Of course, all of this
occurs in a period of high productivity which has enabled more (in use value
terms) to be done with less (in exchange value terms) - but essentially the net
transfers in value terms has remained qualititatively the same.



Of course, the availability of credit and the increasing productivity of labour
have enabled wages to be depressed further in imperialist centres (and this
also challenges social 'transfers'). So progressively the latter factor
(credit) has became more dominant in enabling consumption to increase.



> The bulk of the value generated, appropriated
by the advanced capitalist countries is most certainly NOT value
expropriated, seized, looted, unequally exchanged from "foreign
exploitation" if you mean by foreign exploitation-- super-profits derived
from poorer, less-developed countries. The overwhelming bulk of
imperialist investment is inter-imperialist, or maybe better
INTRA-imperialist, the overwhelming source of profits is, again, inter/intra
imperialist, and is not derived from investments in the less-developed
countries.



On what do you base this? No doubt on basis of 'prices'. The reality is that
little is produced in imperialist countries but instead they generate a lot of
'value added' through simply repackaging things. Take the blossoming industry
of 'supply-chain management'. It is a classic example. Cloth is produced in one
country, stitched into garments in another and exported to a third where the
customer pays a handsome mark up. The bulk of the profit accrues to the SCM
company located in a fourth country. So let's look at price-based 'value added'
as the european capitalists call it. The cloth sells for pennys. The garment
for perhaps twice or five times that. The consumer pays a massively inflated
price many multiples higher. The net profit in price terms accruing to the SCM
company is huge relative to the cost of production. The GDP figures you quote
will give significant 'value-added' contributions from the service sector,
which by definition produces minimal value in marxist terms. Just think about
that for a second.



This happens repeatedly across the global economy in the real world; all over
the place. The net impact is that GDPs in the imperialist countries grow at
rates considerably above the parallel rate of growth in 'trade deficits'
(measured in price terms). From a capitalist perspective, it is sustainable
because of the difference is sufficient to enable it the imperialists to
continue to borrow to pay off that accumulated trade deficit. The crucial gap
in the model is, however, the imperialist end 'consumer'. They are 'paying' for
the huge mark-up in price. That is financed from our two sources of 'transfer'
identified above and possibly income from a 'service sector' job. The problem
is that if the capitalist class is to make sufficient profits as a percentage
of investment from this exercise, the only way for this to happen is for
consumption to be financed by an expansion in credit.



In a sense, I therefore agree that the problem is related to the tendency of
profit to fall but it is also rooted in the international division of labour.
To fail to see the importance of the multi-trillion dollar debt held by the
Chinese over the USA is to miss the essence of the contradiction. This is my
criticism of the eight theses.

> Regarding productive cores and advance countries-- US still provides the
largest portion of the world's industrial production-- about 24-21% [think
this is a 2007 figure] and even poor old decadent super-annuated Britain has
a manufacturing sector providing about 15% of GDP-- not very much less than
France's ratio.



Again, just how much of this 'production' is simply repackaged production from
the third world. What proportion of your figures for UK GDP is made up from
'service sector' production. What does this represent in real value terms? How
many components are produced elsewhere, bought cheap, assembled and then
parceled on at a huge price 'markup'? To simply accept 'price' based estimates
of GDPs as reflecting underlying 'value' from various sectors is surface only
analysis at its worst.



Even if in the real world, manufacturing and agricultural production provided
90% of GDP - what does that tell you? It says that 10% of the net GDP is
directly accumulated from exploitation overseas and that's on the basis of GDP
figures alone and a massively inflated figure of 90% as opposed to your 15% - a
very poor indicator of what's really happening (which can only be determined by
a analysis of gross national consumption as against gross national production).
This is the centre of the crisis in my opinion. That differential was
sustainable in periods of expanding credit, and expanding growth, but
unsustainable in periods of contraction in both growth and credit.



Anyhow, thanks for your response. I have to get back to work but hope others
who know more join in this discussion.



le meas,

DoC.


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