[Marxism] Obama is toast?

["Joaquin Bustelo" <jbustelo@xxxxxxxxx>]

Ruthless: "Obama is toast now."

My guess is that this isn't so. He's telling the truth here, that beginning
with Reagan, the Republicans played "Reagan Democrats" like a violin,
placing the focus on values "wedge" issues and not doing a damn thing for
them. I think he can convince people and win votes that way -- no, not a
huge amount, he's going to lose most of those voters, but some. But this is
a Democratic Party primary. 

And between now and the fall, he's got plenty of time to let those who are
not convinced now convince themselves, as unemployment and the Iraq body
count rises and "straight talk" McCain remakes himself as a Rockefeller
Republican in the tradition of Barry Goldwater through immigrant bashing and
tying Iraq War as an albatross firmly around his neck.

On the other hand, Obama accomplishes a couple of things:

1. He's got Clinton pandering to religious fundamentalists and the "guns
don't kill people. Video games kill people"  crowd, helping to drive all the
progressive/liberals over the fence to his camp. Remember, Hillary was
running as a progressive, first woman president and all that. On Hillary's
side, it shows she is banking on the "Reagan Democrat" vote and on the hope
that a lot of those Republicans and independents who re-registered as
Democrats are like the Republicans in Mississippi who crossed over, and
accounted for one-fourth of her votes there, and not like those of earlier
primaries who chose not to vote in the Republican contest to back Obama.
(Many other states make it easier than PA to cross over). The point is in
the fall, the Republican base is going to go for the real Republican rather
than a faux one. She's got nothing more to tell them than she, too, loves
guns, going to Church and deep down doesn't really like all those beaners
invading the country. This is essentially an argument pitched to the
superdelegates ... it's not that Hillary can't beat McCain, it's that she
doesn't know how.

2. He is setting up his game for the fall, where his line of attack is going
to be that McCain waves the bloody shirt because he has no program to get
out of Iraq or help the American people in times of economic distress.

And he's showing once again that America's punditocracy and political
analyst class don't have a clue. They're all going ballistic over this
little incident.

Joaquín



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