Re: [Marxism] Elections in the Spanish State: First Impressions (II)

["Ed George" <edgeorge1963@xxxxxxxxx>]

Essentially because a 'disinterest' in registering a 'democratic
protest vote' would not result in this kind of fall in the vote: you
would expect the vote not to go up, or even go down some, but not go
down as it did, by a *third*.

There are a priori three possibilities for me to explain the fall:
there is an active boycott of the Spanish-state electoral system;
there is a refusal to vote for Basque nationalist parties because of a
revulsion of  ETA; or there is a mood of disillusion and
disappointment at the lack of things happening. Frankly, if either of
the first two scenarios was the case there would be other things
happening: demonstrations, mobilizations, public declarations, and so
on, and there aren't. Maybe I'm wrong, but I just can't see it another
way.


******

On Thu, Mar 13, 2008 at 8:35 AM, Ed George <edgeorge1963@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:

> The precipitous collapse of the Basque
>  nationalist vote cannot be explained simply by a disinterest in
>  registering a 'democratic protest' vote against ETA: there must be
>  something else going on as well.

Why do you think that it cannot be explained this way? You do not say
that. Yet, the rest of your analysis depends on this assumption.

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