Re: [Marxism] al-Hakim, main Maliki ally, criticizes US detention of Iranians as violation of Iraq's sovereignty

[<g.maclennan@xxxxxxxxxx>]

Hi Lajanyu

there are three instances where the Iranians have collaborated with the 
Americans:

Bonsia
Afghanistan
and Iraq.

In all three cases they have been repaid for their services by being attacked 
by the Americans.


They will not learn the lessons that revolutionaries should because they are 
not revolutionaries.  Sounds simple, banal even,  but I wish I had a dollar for 
every leftist with illusions in Ahmadinejad.

Your point about the American ruling class pushing now to avoid the 
consedquences of defeat is proably correct.  But there is still the possibility 
that a fraction of the American ruling class will move to pull the plug on 
Bush, because his adventurism is threatening the position of their class. For 
the moment they will go along with escalation, but only because they are locked 
in for fear of the consequences of losing.  However the outcome of the 
disasters in Iran as well as in Iraq may persuade them otherwise.  In the mean 
time it would be wrong to underestimate their triumphalism at have so 
effectively split the Arab and Islamic worlds.  This Shi-Sunni divide would be 
regarded as a real accomplishment by the Bush gang and the American ruling 
class.

They now think they have a point of leverage they did not have before.

Meanwhile the various factions in Iran are paralysed in face of the coming 
attack.  They have only one solution which is to not respond to the American 
provocations and propaganda and to continue their behind the scenes 
cooperation. That of course makes them all the more vulnerable. If there is a 
move against Amadinejad that will be a sign that an even greater surrender is 
coming.

By the same token al-Sadr is trying to avoid provoking the Americans while 
continuing the slaughter and displacement of the Sunnis in Baghdad.

regards

Gary

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