[Marxism] Deadliest Conflict of 21st Century

["Austin, Andrew" <austina@xxxxxxxx>]

> The full report: Burnham-Doocy-Lafta-Roberts-Lancet Mortality after
> the 2003 invasion of Iraq -- a cross sectional cluster sample survey
> <http://www.normanfinkelstein.com/pdf/lancet/Johns_HopkinsLancet_Morta
> lityafterthe2003invasionofIraq.pdf>  (240KB - PDF) 
> Mortality after the 2003 invasion of Iraq: a cross-sectional cluster
> sample survey 
> *     Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
> Baltimore, MD, USA (Prof G Burnham MD, S Doocy PhD, L Roberts PhD); 
> *     School of Medicine, Al Mustansiriya University, Baghdad, Iraq
> (Prof R Lafta MD) 
> By Gilbert Burnham, Riyadh Lafta, Shannon Doocy, Les Roberts
> 
> Summary
> 
> Background An excess mortality of nearly 100 000 deaths was reported
> in Iraq for the period March, 2003-September, 2004, attributed to the
> invasion of Iraq. Our aim was to update this estimate.
> 
> Methods 
> 
> Between May and July, 2006, we did a national cross-sectional cluster
> sample survey of mortality in Iraq. 50 clusters were randomly selected
> from 16 Governorates, with every cluster consisting of 40 households.
> Information on deaths from these households was gathered.
> 
> Findings 
> 
> Three misattributed clusters were excluded from the final analysis;
> data from 1849 households that contained 12 801 individuals in 47
> clusters was gathered. 1474 births and 629 deaths were reported during
> the observation period. Pre-invasion mortality rates were 5*5 per 1000
> people per year (95% CI 4*3-7*1), compared with 13*3 per 1000 people
> per year (10*9-16*1) in the 40 months post-invasion. We estimate that
> as of July, 2006, there have been 654 965 (392 979-942 636) excess
> Iraqi deaths as a consequence of the war, which corresponds to 2*5% of
> the population in the study area. Of post-invasion deaths, 601 027
> (426 369-793 663) were due to violence, the most common cause being
> gunfire.
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