Re: [Marxism] Interesting view on Ecuador events

["Carlos A. Rivera" <cerejota@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>]

----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Joaquín Bustelo" <jbustelo@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>

> An important question, one that needs to be thought about deeply, is why
> both this movement and the similar movement in Bolivia have been unable to
> come up with a governmental alternative at decisive moments of political
> crisis.

I have argued time and again that both Ecuador and Bolivia are since the 
late 1990s in a constant state of revolution, the bourgeoise state impotent, 
defacto control of wide areas and economic fields in the hands of those who 
toil it, massive and violent urban riots etc etc etc.

My own view is that a resolution has not emerged because there is strategic 
balance between the reactionary forces and the popular forces. The military 
establishment, which unlike Venezuela's (see interview of Hugo Chavez's 
bolder brother recently posted here) was actively and effectively purged of 
real left-populist leaning officiers (Gutierrez is to the right of Chavez), 
doesn't attempt a reactionary coup because it knows it would not get OAS/USA 
approval. The popular movements do not attempt to take power for righteous 
fear of any coup then getting approval. Unlike Chavez, they don't feel they 
can effectively challenge a coup attempt against a revolutionary movement.

This is were the similarities between Ecuador and Bolivia end, IMHO.

Bolivia as of today is moving slowly towards a Chavez-like government, and 
is mostly out of the governing crisis. The MAS and other groups are 
incresingly gaining actual government in many places. Not so in
Ecuador.

sks 



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