[Marxism] The future of warfare - a micro revolution ?

["Jurriaan Bendien" <bendien@xxxxxxxxxxxx>]

Four strategic competitions will likely shape the transition to a future
warfare regime. The first will pit evolving anti-access or area-denial
capabilities against current and new forms of power projection. The second
will take place between hiders and finders. The third will pit capabilities
for stealth/barrage attack against missile and air defenses. The fourth will
be an offense struggle of information warfare and advanced biological
warfare attack and defense. (...)

The Continuous Revolution.
This view is derived from the belief that an enduring or sustained
information revolution will spawn a series of military revolutions, with
increasingly short intervals between them. In this view, the idea of a
military regime as a relatively stable equilibrium will itself become
obsolete. (...)

The Hidden Revolution.
This idea, which has been most forcefully advocated by Admiral William
Owens, the former vice chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, emphasizes
joint warfighting and the centrality of long-range precision strike and
information supremacy. This vision of an emerging Revolution in Military
Affairs is largely limited to its impact on land combat. While naval and air
combat may rely more on information dominance and increased range, the
conduct of war in these dimensions is not seen as changing as radically as
the conduct of operations on land. No new platforms or new observable combat
formations are brought into existence by this Revolution in Military
Affairs - which is munition and C4I driven-hence the notion of a hidden
revolution. (...)

The Micro Revolution.
An even more radical extension of the hidden revolution is the notion of a
platformless micro revolution. Here, the idea is that a proliferation of
inexpensive, micro sensors and weapons systems will make all movement
impossible and all existing platforms and forms of combat obsolete. Thus,
the micro revolution would potentially render not only the current
conventional warfare regime obsolete but also the strategic nuclear regime.

The complete story is at: http://www.csbaonline.org/




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