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[A-List] Fwd: New story Added to SRA Website
- To: The A-List <a-list@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Subject: [A-List] Fwd: New story Added to SRA Website
- From: Stanley Goff <sherrynstan@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Thu, 19 May 2005 15:24:45 -0400
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Begin forwarded message:
From: <esavage@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: May 19, 2005 8:36:44 AM EDT
To: "esavage@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx" <esavage@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: New story Added to SRA Website
www.sandersresearch.com
Inside Track
Continent of Vulnerability
Stan Goff
May 19, 2005
The FBI confirmed Tuesday the accuracy of a New York Times report that
software on routers, computers that control the Internet, were
compromised last year by a hacker who claimed that he had infiltrated
systems serving U.S. military installations, research laboratories,
and NASA… The Times reported, and the FBI confirmed, that the focus of
the investigation is a youth in Uppsala, Sweden, who has been charged
as a juvenile. -CNN, Tuesday, May 11, 2005

Civilian Disasters
Bhopal
On December 3, 1984, a few minutes after midnight as people lay abed,
a leak appeared on a plant producing methyl isocyanate (MIC) – and
intermediary chemical in the production of pesticides – at a Union
Carbide plant in Bhopal, India. The MIC generated a cloud that was
carried over a densely populated area.
Half a million human beings, uncounted animals, homes, soil, surface
and ground water were exposed to this lethal toxin. Almost 4,000 died
outright and in horrible pain. Over 20,000 have died as a result, and
conservative estimates are that another 120,000 have suffered
permanent and often terrible disabilities. Women’s breast milk still
carries 1, 3 & 5 trichlorobenzene, dichloromethane, chloroform, lead
and mercury. Mercury in local water sources is still between 20,000
and 6 million times the ‘expected’ levels.[1]< /a>

Chernobyl
Less than two years later, at a Ukrainian town called Chernobyl, the
technicians at a nuclear power plant were testing the Unit 4
emergency-shutdown cooling system, when that system failed and the
reactor caught fire. Prevailing northwesterly winds carried the
aerosolized radioisotopes across Ukraine, then Belarus, and finally
dispersed them over hundreds of thousands of square miles in Eastern
Europe, for ten days before the radiation release was controlled. The
release equals more radioactive fallout than that produced by the two
bombs dropped on Japan at the end of World War II.
In the 125,000 and 146,000 km2 of Belarus, Russia and Ukraine with
gamma-emitting Cesium-137 levels exceeding 1 curie per square
kilometer, there were over 7 million people, 3 million of them
children. While around 350,000 residents of the contaminated areas
were resettled, 5.5 million people continue to live in these areas.
The radioactive iodine from the reactor is responsible for thyroid
cancers rising from 127 cases in 1980 to 816 cases by 2000. Estimates
of total deaths directly attributable to Chernobyl exceed 100,000.
Milk, meat, animal fodder, game, fish, berries, and water are all
still contaminated. In Belarus alone, 22% of the soil is contaminated
as deep as 5 inches, where the majority of plant roots are
concentrated. Cesium levels in that soil are still at 90% of their
original levels.[2]
If either of these industrial accidents had been caused intentionally
as a political-military action, they would far exceed the damages
inflicted by the asymmetric military operation against the United
States’ financial, political, and military centers on September 11,
2001.
The Revolution in Military Affairs
Asymmetric warfare is a term that has gained currency with this
administration even before 9-11. The Estimate, a security and
intelligence journal focusing on Southwest Asia and North Africa
defines asymmetric warfare, using the attack on the USS Cole and the
second Intifada, as follows:
The new intifada and the attack on the Cole both serve, in different
ways, as object lessons of what military theorists call “asymmetric
warfare”, the use of unconventional tactics to counter the
overwhelming conventional military superiority of an adversary. The
concept has mostly been refined by US strategists, working within the
debate on the “revolution in military affairs” (RMA): the US has an
overwhelming technological superiority over the conventional military
forces of virtually any conceivable adversary, but remains vulnerable
to certain types of unconventional response: terrorist attacks,
weapons of mass destruction, or unpredictable actions in unpredictable
places, like the attack on the Cole in Aden. Depending on one’s
definition, asymm etric warfare includes conventional terrorism,
classic guerrilla war and the use of weapons of mass destruction, but
also such innovative approaches as cyber-attacks and information
warfare.
This reference to Rumsfeld’s and the Defense Advanced Research
Projects Agency (DARPA) (the Hitlerian R&D bridge between defense
contractors and the military) Grand Vision – the Revolution in
Military Affairs (RMA) – needs to be explained.

The Revolution in Military Affairs
RMA is the fixed name for a shifting concept for completely retooling
the United States armed forces’ equipment and doctrine, and a
re-disposition of U.S. armed forces around the world. It is a reaction
to the obsolescence of Cold War organization, disposition, and
doctrinal vestiges. It is based on three main pillars: the
introduction of very high-technology systems to every level and
dimension of military activity, from the battle-space to the general
staff; the abrogation of existing international agreements about the
conduct of warfare; and the redeployment of U.S. military forces from
old positions designed to contain the now-defunct Soviet Union to new
positions designed to simultaneously exert control over strategic
Southwest Asia and contain emergent China.

RMA vaguely recognizes the danger inherent in disrupting the viability
of existing states, and this accounts on the insistence that the US be
exempted from the legal strictures of international treaties governing
martial conduct. But it is also based on the radical technological
optimism displayed by the emphasis – reinforced by the collateral
benefits accruing from fat R&D contracts from the Department of
Defense – on technological “solutions” to all military “problems.”
This reflects the two-dimensional, linear thought process apparent for
people like Donald “Mr. Metrics” Rumsfeld, and DARPA’s RMA Svengali,
Richard H. Van Atta. Their arithmetic universe contains little but
deep space when it comes to the fundamentally political nature of
warfare, and an absolute void where human agency and unpredictability
should be.
Asymmetric warfare is a direct response to the increasing
conventional/technological power of the United States. As U.S. forces
gain the capacity to deepen and extend control over battlefields –
where direct engagement takes place – they force asymmetry of response
further away from direct contact, and ultimately into the host-society
itself.
What they are apparently constitutionally incapable of grasping is
that asymmetric warfare takes advantage of latent catastrophic
cascades inhering in technologically complex systems. Asymmetric
warfare, as the quote above indicates, is a direct response to the
increasing conventional/technological power of the United States. As
U.S. forces gain the capacity to deepen and extend control over
battlefields – where direct engagement takes place – they force
asymmetry of response further away from direct contact, and ultimately
into the host-society itself.
Continent of Vulnerability
And advanced, late-capitalist, American society is now a continent of
vulnerability, an enormous concentration of rapidly-evolving,
technology-dependent and critical systems designed to speed up
metropolitan capital circuits, impelled by both competition and the
deepening crisis of a world system tumbling into protracted crisis.
An example of that vulnerability:

"In November 2001, a man at Atlanta’s Hartsfield International
Airport, the biggest air travel hub in the southeastern United States,
left his camera bag in the terminal just before boarding his flight.
He rushed back to the terminal to retrieve his bag. When he ran back
to catch his plane, fearing he would miss the flight and seeing long
lines at the security checkpoint, he impulsively ran up the down
escalator to bypass those checkpoints. It was stupid. And it was
illegal. But it was, on its own, trivial. Individuals forget things.
Individuals take shortcuts. Individuals follow impulses that
constitute bad judgment. This impulsive act, however, at untold cost
shut down air traffic into and out of the major air traffic hub for
over four hours, forced the evacua tion of around ten thousand people,
and had immeasurable and cascading consequences for each and all of
those people. It forced the rerouting of aircraft, rescheduling,
cancellations, and re-ticketing for days afterward. It was the weekend
before Thanksgiving. AirTran alone evacuated eighteen flights that
were awaiting takeoff on the ground at Atlanta. This is the
actualization of entropic potential based directly on system
complexity. That disorder can be released by an up-the-down-staircase
shortcut, or by flying an airplane into a building."[3]
Asymmetric warfare: a case study
Since 9-11, the United States has been drawn into a losing war in
Southwest Asia that could cost the House of Saud its power, has almost
certainly balkanized Iraq, has engendered the hatred of around a
billion Muslims, and has brought sundry inter-imperial rivalries to
the surface of international relations. Asymmetric warfare
practitioners understand the latent disorder in technologically
complex, generalized systems; therefore they understand how any
properly focused decisive action can put a catastrophic cascade of
events into motion. They also understand the inhering advantage to the
asymmetric force that exists apart from any state.
Non-state actors cannot be geographically fixed, and therefore cannot
be easily struck. Moreover, the attacks of a non-state actor do not
risk retaliation against critical institutional infrastructure, and
the effort and cost of retaliating – both monetary and political (from
collateral damage) – is enormous. I have argued in these pages (The
War for Saudi Arabia, August 2004) that the September 11 attacks were
designed to provoke the US into an invasion and occupation of
Southwest Asia in order to polarize the region against it in order to
further isolate corrupt local leaders from their own increasingly
restive populations. Asymmetric warfare (AW) can be described as
politico-military judo.
The limitation of asymmetric warfare is that it does not, on its own,
create the conditions to defeat a technologically superior
conventional enemy. It can only prevent that enemy from winning, as we
are seeing in Iraq now, where we have witnessed the utter destruction
of RMA as a doctrine (though one could never tell it from the media).
But then AW does not necessarily aim at inflicting a military defeat…
of undergoing the transformation of guerrilla warfare to conventional
warfare, as the Vietnamese effected. AW can and is being employed to
catalyze institutional processes of degradation in the technologically
superior host-society. This is extremely apparent now with the
debasement of the United States armed forces through personnel
attrition manifested most directly as a recruitment and retention
crisis.

Technology's not all it's cracked up to be
This reality has forced the United States to rely increasingly on
bluffing. Bluffing has always been part of foreign policy,
particularly with regard to military capacity. All militaries seek to
create a mystique as a mechanism of deterrence. It is extremely common
for the U.S. military to advertise various capabilities for its forces
that can only be demonstrated with advance planning and rehearsal.
Much of the conspiracy theorizing around 9-11 noted the failure of the
Air Force to scramble interceptors quickly enough stop the attacks,
the assumption being that they failed to do what they could do. That
is not a good assumption. Like many of the units I was in, the
advertised response capability is published with as much an eye to
deterrence as anything else, and when put to the test on any given day
with out warning simply doesn’t work.
On May 11, the same day the 16-year-old hacker was discovered who had
broken into U.S. military computer systems, a Cessna 152 had
penetrated the three-mile inner circle of Washington DC’s protected
airspace… the most restricted airspace in the country. The wayward
pilot turn out to be a man with a student on board, en route from
Southern Pennsylvania to an air show in Lumberton, NC. Fighter planes
and helicopters surrounded this hapless plane almost directly over the
capital and escorted to the two terrified travelers to a nearby
airfield.
The government’s line is that the security system worked “flawlessly.”
In the army, we called this pissing on your leg and telling you it’s
raining.
This plane did not hug the earth as any interloper who’d stolen or
rented a general aviation aircraft might – evading radar to approach a
target. No, it flew into this restricted airspace and got within 90
seconds of the capital at a designated altitude, nakedly exposed to
radar the whole way.
The Vulnerable Continent
Here is an excerpt from a studyI did two years ago on the
vulnerability of nuclear power plants:
"What the Department of Homeland Security apparently has not figured
out is that it is likewise not necessary for attackers to hijack
airplanes outside the country to activate the huge 'dirty
bombs.'[nuclear power plants] The US General Accounting Office (GAO)
released a report in September 2003 that showed 70 general aviation
aircraft had been stolen inside the United States within the last five
years. That is an average of 14 aircraft a year. These are small
planes at short-takeoff-and-landing (STOL) airfields.
"Cursory research shows that the most common light aircraft in the
United States is the Cessna Skyhawk.
"A Tomahawk Cruise Missile is a precision weapon that can hug the
earth, evade radar, travel to a range of 600 miles, and deliver up to
1,000 pounds of high explosive onto a target. A Cessna Skyhawk has a
range of 687 miles, can carry a payload up to 675 pounds, and likewise
can hug the contours of the earth to evade radar and deliver its
payload with pinpoint accuracy.
"These general aviation aircraft then, with the simple addition of a
committed pilot prepared to die and 500 pounds of high explosive,
could be employed as a “poor person’s Cruise missile."[4]
The so-called security measures that put interceptors up just in time
to shoot down a disoriented private plane almost directly over the
White House is deterrent eye-wash. Everyone who watches this with the
least idea what they are seeing now knows that everything in the US is
penetrable.
The United States, in the exercise of its current form of imperial
power – currency-hegemony combined with an overwhelming conventional
military force – is pursuing policies to retain that power that are
releasing (and motivating) enemies from the inhering caution of a
geographically-fixed state that paradoxically constitute a threat to
that power for which the United States can have no coherent reply.[5]
Threshold of an historical step-change
We are standing at the threshold of an historical step-change in which
US power can be quickly transformed into its opposite… and we may be
seeing the first stages of that change right now.

The final vulnerability in this system is both social and
psychological. The male ethos of “not backing down” that seems to
infect American culture – indoctrinated as we are with a ceaseless
river of entertainment cum socialization featuring male revenge themes
and militaristic Reichian warrior-fathers – has cornered American
politicians. With the Manichean worldview of Americans, carefully
programmed to fear the threatening dark Other outside the suburbs,
every politician facing the challenge of his or her next electoral
ritual is also faced with the potential destructive power of an
opponent who can bait the candidate with being “soft”; soft on drugs,
soft on crime, soft on communism, soft on terrorism.
It is this cultural and psychological machismo that creates the kind
of reactionary inertia, nay – momentum, we are seeing with the Bush
administration, and sidelines the cooler heads of the empire. It is
this same momentum which forecloses any option of ending the most
provocative foreign policies and which will accelerate the
re-disposition of the “battle-space” into the “homeland.”
We will then see Rosa Luxemburg’s most dire prediction come to pass,
an epoch characterized by the advance of barbarism. In many ways, we
are seeing it already.
[1] Data available from the International Campaign for Justice in
Bhopal, at http://www.bhopal.net/.
[2] Data available from the International Chernobyl Research
Information Network, at http://www.chernobyl.info/index.php.
[3] Stan Goff, “Full Spectrum Disorder – The Military in the New
American Century” (Soft Skull Press, 2004), p. 66.
[4] Stan Goff, “Feeling More Secure Yet? Bush, Security, Energy,
Money,” Counterpunch, December 3, 2003.
In another article, it was noted:
"There are 3,000 chemical facilities in the US that are within a
danger radius of at least 10, 000 people, 700 plants that would
endanger 100,000 or more people, and 123 that could hit more than a
million residents. There is transportation sabotage, water supply
sabotage (imagine 20 gallons of LSD), coal fired power plants,
internet disruption,… in many ways, when you think about it, the
targets selected for 9/11 were not mad mass destruction targets but
targets selected carefully for their strategic and symbolic import – a
major global financial center (where Unocal and the CIA had offices),
the Pentagon, and (according to some) the Capital. Financial,
military, and political decapitation.
"I hate to break it to those who fantasize that OBL, or whomever, was
out to create the worst imaginable havoc out of pure antisocial evil,
but if that were the case, the target in New York would not have been
the WTC; it would have been the Indian Point nuclear reactor.
"Based on the immense wealth the United States has accumulated through
its domination and exploitation of the rest of the world – including,
by the way, it’s imperial allies – we are now captured in a giant net
of potentially lethal and highly vulnerable techno-mass. Anyone that
wants the US bad enough, can get it… only all of us are stuck here in
“it.” Stan Goff, “Donald Rumsfeld & Porter Goss say we should be very
afraid… and we should,” http://stangoff.com/index.php?p=34.
[5] A hundred moderately well-organized and committed Earth-First-ish
monkey-wrenchers could conceivably create havoc for weeks throughout
the country with the careful employment of tiny devices called
“crabs,” (which I will not describe in detail here) that can be made
in any welder’s shop with plain rebar, and which can jam up major
automobile thoroughfares for untold hours.
Stan
http://stangoff.com
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