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[A-List] Fwd: New story Added to SRA Website



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Begin forwarded message:

From: <esavage@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: May 19, 2005 8:36:44 AM EDT
To: "esavage@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx" <esavage@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: New story Added to SRA Website

www.sandersresearch.com
Inside Track

Continent of Vulnerability

Stan Goff

May 19, 2005

The FBI confirmed Tuesday the accuracy of a New York Times report that software on routers, computers that control the Internet, were compromised last year by a hacker who claimed that he had infiltrated systems serving U.S. military installations, research laboratories, and NASA… The Times reported, and the FBI confirmed, that the focus of the investigation is a youth in Uppsala, Sweden, who has been charged as a juvenile. -CNN, Tuesday, May 11, 2005

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Civilian Disasters

Bhopal

On December 3, 1984, a few minutes after midnight as people lay abed, a leak appeared on a plant producing methyl isocyanate (MIC) – and intermediary chemical in the production of pesticides – at a Union Carbide plant in Bhopal, India. The MIC generated a cloud that was carried over a densely populated area.

Half a million human beings, uncounted animals, homes, soil, surface and ground water were exposed to this lethal toxin. Almost 4,000 died outright and in horrible pain. Over 20,000 have died as a result, and conservative estimates are that another 120,000 have suffered permanent and often terrible disabilities. Women’s breast milk still carries 1, 3 & 5 trichlorobenzene, dichloromethane, chloroform, lead and mercury. Mercury in local water sources is still between 20,000 and 6 million times the ‘expected’ levels.[1]< /a>

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Chernobyl

Less than two years later, at a Ukrainian town called Chernobyl, the technicians at a nuclear power plant were testing the Unit 4 emergency-shutdown cooling system, when that system failed and the reactor caught fire. Prevailing northwesterly winds carried the aerosolized radioisotopes across Ukraine, then Belarus, and finally dispersed them over hundreds of thousands of square miles in Eastern Europe, for ten days before the radiation release was controlled. The release equals more radioactive fallout than that produced by the two bombs dropped on Japan at the end of World War II.

In the 125,000 and 146,000 km2 of Belarus, Russia and Ukraine with gamma-emitting Cesium-137 levels exceeding 1 curie per square kilometer, there were over 7 million people, 3 million of them children. While around 350,000 residents of the contaminated areas were resettled, 5.5 million people continue to live in these areas. The radioactive iodine from the reactor is responsible for thyroid cancers rising from 127 cases in 1980 to 816 cases by 2000. Estimates of total deaths directly attributable to Chernobyl exceed 100,000. Milk, meat, animal fodder, game, fish, berries, and water are all still contaminated. In Belarus alone, 22% of the soil is contaminated as deep as 5 inches, where the majority of plant roots are concentrated. Cesium levels in that soil are still at 90% of their original levels.[2]

If either of these industrial accidents had been caused intentionally as a political-military action, they would far exceed the damages inflicted by the asymmetric military operation against the United States’ financial, political, and military centers on September 11, 2001.

The Revolution in Military Affairs

Asymmetric warfare is a term that has gained currency with this administration even before 9-11. The Estimate, a security and intelligence journal focusing on Southwest Asia and North Africa defines asymmetric warfare, using the attack on the USS Cole and the second Intifada, as follows:

The new intifada and the attack on the Cole both serve, in different ways, as object lessons of what military theorists call “asymmetric warfare”, the use of unconventional tactics to counter the overwhelming conventional military superiority of an adversary. The concept has mostly been refined by US strategists, working within the debate on the “revolution in military affairs” (RMA): the US has an overwhelming technological superiority over the conventional military forces of virtually any conceivable adversary, but remains vulnerable to certain types of unconventional response: terrorist attacks, weapons of mass destruction, or unpredictable actions in unpredictable places, like the attack on the Cole in Aden. Depending on one’s definition, asymm etric warfare includes conventional terrorism, classic guerrilla war and the use of weapons of mass destruction, but also such innovative approaches as cyber-attacks and information warfare.

This reference to Rumsfeld’s and the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) (the Hitlerian R&D bridge between defense contractors and the military) Grand Vision – the Revolution in Military Affairs (RMA) – needs to be explained.

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The Revolution in Military Affairs

RMA is the fixed name for a shifting concept for completely retooling the United States armed forces’ equipment and doctrine, and a re-disposition of U.S. armed forces around the world. It is a reaction to the obsolescence of Cold War organization, disposition, and doctrinal vestiges. It is based on three main pillars: the introduction of very high-technology systems to every level and dimension of military activity, from the battle-space to the general staff; the abrogation of existing international agreements about the conduct of warfare; and the redeployment of U.S. military forces from old positions designed to contain the now-defunct Soviet Union to new positions designed to simultaneously exert control over strategic Southwest Asia and contain emergent China.

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RMA vaguely recognizes the danger inherent in disrupting the viability of existing states, and this accounts on the insistence that the US be exempted from the legal strictures of international treaties governing martial conduct. But it is also based on the radical technological optimism displayed by the emphasis – reinforced by the collateral benefits accruing from fat R&D contracts from the Department of Defense – on technological “solutions” to all military “problems.” This reflects the two-dimensional, linear thought process apparent for people like Donald “Mr. Metrics” Rumsfeld, and DARPA’s RMA Svengali, Richard H. Van Atta. Their arithmetic universe contains little but deep space when it comes to the fundamentally political nature of warfare, and an absolute void where human agency and unpredictability should be.

Asymmetric warfare is a direct response to the increasing conventional/technological power of the United States. As U.S. forces gain the capacity to deepen and extend control over battlefields – where direct engagement takes place – they force asymmetry of response further away from direct contact, and ultimately into the host-society itself.

What they are apparently constitutionally incapable of grasping is that asymmetric warfare takes advantage of latent catastrophic cascades inhering in technologically complex systems. Asymmetric warfare, as the quote above indicates, is a direct response to the increasing conventional/technological power of the United States. As U.S. forces gain the capacity to deepen and extend control over battlefields – where direct engagement takes place – they force asymmetry of response further away from direct contact, and ultimately into the host-society itself.

Continent of Vulnerability

And advanced, late-capitalist, American society is now a continent of vulnerability, an enormous concentration of rapidly-evolving, technology-dependent and critical systems designed to speed up metropolitan capital circuits, impelled by both competition and the deepening crisis of a world system tumbling into protracted crisis.

An example of that vulnerability:

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"In November 2001, a man at Atlanta’s Hartsfield International Airport, the biggest air travel hub in the southeastern United States, left his camera bag in the terminal just before boarding his flight. He rushed back to the terminal to retrieve his bag. When he ran back to catch his plane, fearing he would miss the flight and seeing long lines at the security checkpoint, he impulsively ran up the down escalator to bypass those checkpoints. It was stupid. And it was illegal. But it was, on its own, trivial. Individuals forget things. Individuals take shortcuts. Individuals follow impulses that constitute bad judgment. This impulsive act, however, at untold cost shut down air traffic into and out of the major air traffic hub for over four hours, forced the evacua tion of around ten thousand people, and had immeasurable and cascading consequences for each and all of those people. It forced the rerouting of aircraft, rescheduling, cancellations, and re-ticketing for days afterward. It was the weekend before Thanksgiving. AirTran alone evacuated eighteen flights that were awaiting takeoff on the ground at Atlanta. This is the actualization of entropic potential based directly on system complexity. That disorder can be released by an up-the-down-staircase shortcut, or by flying an airplane into a building."[3]

Asymmetric warfare: a case study 

Since 9-11, the United States has been drawn into a losing war in Southwest Asia that could cost the House of Saud its power, has almost certainly balkanized Iraq, has engendered the hatred of around a billion Muslims, and has brought sundry inter-imperial rivalries to the surface of international relations. Asymmetric warfare practitioners understand the latent disorder in technologically complex, generalized systems; therefore they understand how any properly focused decisive action can put a catastrophic cascade of events into motion. They also understand the inhering advantage to the asymmetric force that exists apart from any state.

Non-state actors cannot be geographically fixed, and therefore cannot be easily struck. Moreover, the attacks of a non-state actor do not risk retaliation against critical institutional infrastructure, and the effort and cost of retaliating – both monetary and political (from collateral damage) – is enormous. I have argued in these pages (The War for Saudi Arabia, August 2004) that the September 11 attacks were designed to provoke the US into an invasion and occupation of Southwest Asia in order to polarize the region against it in order to further isolate corrupt local leaders from their own increasingly restive populations. Asymmetric warfare (AW) can be described as politico-military judo.

The limitation of asymmetric warfare is that it does not, on its own, create the conditions to defeat a technologically superior conventional enemy. It can only prevent that enemy from winning, as we are seeing in Iraq now, where we have witnessed the utter destruction of RMA as a doctrine (though one could never tell it from the media). But then AW does not necessarily aim at inflicting a military defeat… of undergoing the transformation of guerrilla warfare to conventional warfare, as the Vietnamese effected. AW can and is being employed to catalyze institutional processes of degradation in the technologically superior host-society. This is extremely apparent now with the debasement of the United States armed forces through personnel attrition manifested most directly as a recruitment and retention crisis.

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Technology's not all it's cracked up to be

This reality has forced the United States to rely increasingly on bluffing. Bluffing has always been part of foreign policy, particularly with regard to military capacity. All militaries seek to create a mystique as a mechanism of deterrence. It is extremely common for the U.S. military to advertise various capabilities for its forces that can only be demonstrated with advance planning and rehearsal. Much of the conspiracy theorizing around 9-11 noted the failure of the Air Force to scramble interceptors quickly enough stop the attacks, the assumption being that they failed to do what they could do. That is not a good assumption. Like many of the units I was in, the advertised response capability is published with as much an eye to deterrence as anything else, and when put to the test on any given day with out warning simply doesn’t work.

On May 11, the same day the 16-year-old hacker was discovered who had broken into U.S. military computer systems, a Cessna 152 had penetrated the three-mile inner circle of Washington DC’s protected airspace… the most restricted airspace in the country. The wayward pilot turn out to be a man with a student on board, en route from Southern Pennsylvania to an air show in Lumberton, NC. Fighter planes and helicopters surrounded this hapless plane almost directly over the capital and escorted to the two terrified travelers to a nearby airfield.

The government’s line is that the security system worked “flawlessly.” In the army, we called this pissing on your leg and telling you it’s raining.

This plane did not hug the earth as any interloper who’d stolen or rented a general aviation aircraft might – evading radar to approach a target. No, it flew into this restricted airspace and got within 90 seconds of the capital at a designated altitude, nakedly exposed to radar the whole way.


The Vulnerable Continent

Here is an excerpt from a studyI did two years ago on the vulnerability of nuclear power plants:

"What the Department of Homeland Security apparently has not figured out is that it is likewise not necessary for attackers to hijack airplanes outside the country to activate the huge 'dirty bombs.'[nuclear power plants] The US General Accounting Office (GAO) released a report in September 2003 that showed 70 general aviation aircraft had been stolen inside the United States within the last five years. That is an average of 14 aircraft a year. These are small planes at short-takeoff-and-landing (STOL) airfields.

"Cursory research shows that the most common light aircraft in the United States is the Cessna Skyhawk.

"A Tomahawk Cruise Missile is a precision weapon that can hug the earth, evade radar, travel to a range of 600 miles, and deliver up to 1,000 pounds of high explosive onto a target. A Cessna Skyhawk has a range of 687 miles, can carry a payload up to 675 pounds, and likewise can hug the contours of the earth to evade radar and deliver its payload with pinpoint accuracy.

"These general aviation aircraft then, with the simple addition of a committed pilot prepared to die and 500 pounds of high explosive, could be employed as a “poor person’s Cruise missile."[4]

The so-called security measures that put interceptors up just in time to shoot down a disoriented private plane almost directly over the White House is deterrent eye-wash. Everyone who watches this with the least idea what they are seeing now knows that everything in the US is penetrable.

The United States, in the exercise of its current form of imperial power – currency-hegemony combined with an overwhelming conventional military force – is pursuing policies to retain that power that are releasing (and motivating) enemies from the inhering caution of a geographically-fixed state that paradoxically constitute a threat to that power for which the United States can have no coherent reply.[5]

Threshold of an historical step-change

We are standing at the threshold of an historical step-change in which US power can be quickly transformed into its opposite… and we may be seeing the first stages of that change right now.

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The final vulnerability in this system is both social and psychological. The male ethos of “not backing down” that seems to infect American culture – indoctrinated as we are with a ceaseless river of entertainment cum socialization featuring male revenge themes and militaristic Reichian warrior-fathers – has cornered American politicians. With the Manichean worldview of Americans, carefully programmed to fear the threatening dark Other outside the suburbs, every politician facing the challenge of his or her next electoral ritual is also faced with the potential destructive power of an opponent who can bait the candidate with being “soft”; soft on drugs, soft on crime, soft on communism, soft on terrorism.

It is this cultural and psychological machismo that creates the kind of reactionary inertia, nay – momentum, we are seeing with the Bush administration, and sidelines the cooler heads of the empire. It is this same momentum which forecloses any option of ending the most provocative foreign policies and which will accelerate the re-disposition of the “battle-space” into the “homeland.”

We will then see Rosa Luxemburg’s most dire prediction come to pass, an epoch characterized by the advance of barbarism. In many ways, we are seeing it already.



[1] Data available from the International Campaign for Justice in Bhopal, at http://www.bhopal.net/.
[2] Data available from the International Chernobyl Research Information Network, at http://www.chernobyl.info/index.php.
[3] Stan Goff, “Full Spectrum Disorder – The Military in the New American Century” (Soft Skull Press, 2004), p. 66.
[4] Stan Goff, “Feeling More Secure Yet? Bush, Security, Energy, Money,” Counterpunch, December 3, 2003.


In another article, it was noted:

"There are 3,000 chemical facilities in the US that are within a danger radius of at least 10, 000 people, 700 plants that would endanger 100,000 or more people, and 123 that could hit more than a million residents. There is transportation sabotage, water supply sabotage (imagine 20 gallons of LSD), coal fired power plants, internet disruption,… in many ways, when you think about it, the targets selected for 9/11 were not mad mass destruction targets but targets selected carefully for their strategic and symbolic import – a major global financial center (where Unocal and the CIA had offices), the Pentagon, and (according to some) the Capital. Financial, military, and political decapitation.

"I hate to break it to those who fantasize that OBL, or whomever, was out to create the worst imaginable havoc out of pure antisocial evil, but if that were the case, the target in New York would not have been the WTC; it would have been the Indian Point nuclear reactor.

"Based on the immense wealth the United States has accumulated through its domination and exploitation of the rest of the world – including, by the way, it’s imperial allies – we are now captured in a giant net of potentially lethal and highly vulnerable techno-mass. Anyone that wants the US bad enough, can get it… only all of us are stuck here in “it.” Stan Goff, “Donald Rumsfeld & Porter Goss say we should be very afraid… and we should,” http://stangoff.com/index.php?p=34.

[5] A hundred moderately well-organized and committed Earth-First-ish monkey-wrenchers could conceivably create havoc for weeks throughout the country with the careful employment of tiny devices called “crabs,” (which I will not describe in detail here) that can be made in any welder’s shop with plain rebar, and which can jam up major automobile thoroughfares for untold hours.

Stan
http://stangoff.com


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