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Re: [A-List] The Gathering Storm



Gary Santos wrote:

It's been a year now since stories on Peak Oil came out. Over the past few
months, the topic has been covered by major news publications. I find it
strange given the ramifications of Peak Oil that the government has neither
confirmed nor denied the veracity of the theory/findings. Can it be the
ramifications on the financial markets? I find it strange also that the
major news coverage has not sought out a position from the energy agency.
This is definitely one for Holmes.



The IEA/EIA official line is that peak will most likey occur around 2037. But the studies which this are based on are so obviously flawed to anyone who takes a cursory glance (as best summarised by Werner Zittel et al. here: http://www.energybulletin.net/2544.html )

Colin Campbell (most prominent peak oil proponent) thinks the international energy agencies deserve praise for a job well done: "The International Energy Agency made a presentation at a conference on Energy Security in Dublin on February 10th stating that oil resources were near limitless, with production being simply a matter of investment, technology and politics. It is unkind and unreasonable to accuse this OECD organisation of crass ignorance and incompetence. It follows that its statements and fatuous “business-as-usual” scenarios, reflecting outdated economic theory, must have a political motive to spare member governments from the uncomfortable challenge of facing the reality of oil depletion, with all that it implies. Accordingly, far from criticism, the IEA deserves praise for a brilliant performance in accomplishing its mission. It is just that many people fail to grasp what that mission is, and in consequence are seriously misled."
<http://asponews.org/HTML/Newsletter51.html#C501>


Some sections of the US DoE have broken ranks, see: http://www.energybulletin.net/3664.html and http://www.energybulletin.net/4577.html

In New Zealand at least it seems like it will be an election issue: http://www.energybulletin.net/4055.html

Adam Fenderson

--
www.energybulletin.net




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