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Re: [A-List] The Peso is a "Derivative" of the Dollar
It is not the purpose of government to "create" employment, or
money. Any employment organized by government is government
employment and has to be supported by tax revenues. The market,
human activity creates beneficial employment - and that is reality.
Austrian theory is not a theory meant to prevent revolution,
but rather to prevent government tyranny, generally speaking.
And money must be a store of value; otherwise commerce and industry can not
flourish,
and the common man is endlessly cheated through currency confiscation
in the fiat system. What Henry outlined is, in fact, fantastically
idealistic
because no government is not made up of well-meaning robots working for
the common good, but of flesh and blood human beings who seek their
own self-interest (in democracies they seek re-election through the
buying of votes with money confiscated from other people, for example)
and succumb to parasitism. This is why every paper money system ever
devised has collapsed to its intrinsic value (zero) or is collapsing.
I am travelling and am constrained from responding more fully, but could
not allow such misrepresentations of the Austrian school and the purpose
of money without making some noise.
Anne
PS I notice Mugabe is never discussed on this list. Anything for
the "revolution," eh?
----- Original Message -----
From: "Mark Jones" <markjones011@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <a-list@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Tuesday, August 20, 2002 4:43 AM
Subject: Re: [A-List] The Peso is a "Derivative" of the Dollar
> Henry, thanks for the invaluable discussion of value! I have a few points
> to raise about that, but it is wonderful stuff. But here first is my 2
> cents about Chinese use of energy:
> Henry wrote:
>
> >As for Mark's concern about a properous China consuming energy, I have
two
> >comments. I have calculated that at the rate of the past two decades, it
> >will take
> >China two centuries to catch up with the US in per capita consumption.
> >Secondly,
> >China's romance with market captalism will be very short lived as reality
> >will fail
> >to deliver the fancy promises of market fundamentalism. My view is that
> >pretro
> >energy will be replaced within the next century. There was a time when
it was
> >thought that if the world kept building fireplaces, there won't be any
> >trees left
> >to fuel them. Then the world found coal, and oil and gas and nuclear
> >power. We
> >have not even began to tap geo-thermal enegery. The energy problem is a
sunk
> >investment problem, totally solvable but not without some serious
> >Schumpeterean
> >creative destruction.
>
> The best official source I know of is the US government's Energy
> Information Administration. The EIA webpage on China is at
> http://www.eia.doe.gov/cabs/china.html
>
> The EIA says:
>
> >China currently is the world's third largest oil consumer, behind the
> >United States and Japan. Consumption of petroleum products totalled 4.78
> >million barrels per day (bbl/d) in 2000, up from 4.36 million bbl/d in
> >1999. China is expected to surpass Japan as the second largest world oil
> >consumer within the next decade and reach a consumption level of 10.5
> >million bbl/d by 2020, making it a major factor in the world oil market.
>
> Current global oil consumption is of the order of 77 million bbl/d.
> Various estimates of future demand show consumption of 110 million bbl/d
> (some more, some less) by 2020. But this flies in the face of the view
> strongly argued by petrogeologists such as Colin Campbell that world oil
> production is peaking and may already have peaked. Therefore, if this view
> is correct (I believe it is) the world oil industry will be incapable of
> meeting increased demand. At the End of the Oil Age, the crunch will be a
> contest fought primarily between the world's two largest consumers: the
USA
> and China. Given the centrality to modern economies of oil and natural gas
> as energy (80 of all transport) and as raw material feedstock, the danger
> is obvious that the world energy supply position is precarious in the
> extreme and that growth in consumption by China (but not only China,
> obviously; all industrial states continue to increase consumption) is
> unsustainable.
>
> The official US government view is that there is no problem because oil
> supply will rise to meet demand. The unofficial view is--well, what ARE
> they doing in Iraq?
>
> Henry argues that as or if oil runs out, substitutes will be found, and
the
> main problem he sees is that it will be necessary to write off the world's
> huge capital investment in the existing energy-supply base: pipelines,
> refineries, tankers, the billion-plus global vehicle park etc. I take his
> point. At the End of Big Oil there sure is going to be a lot of rusting
> scrap metal out there. But finding substitutes will not be easy and the
> past is no guide.
> Shell's energy scenarios to 2050 -
> www.shell.com/downloads/publications/51852.pdf
> is interesting and upbeat about renewables, geothermal etc. But the scale
> of the problem is this. Renewable energy from all sources includes
> hydropower, solar, wind, tide, geothermal, solid biomass and animal
> products, biomass gas and liquids, industrial and municipal wastes and
> amounts to less than 10% of total global energy consumption. I think there
> are many reasons why oil is irreplaceable, in time or at all, without
there
> first being a general crisis of capitalism.
>
>
> Mark
>
>
>
- Thread context:
- [A-List] Petrodollars..., (continued)
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